Exponential Mistake


Avoid office, pubs and travel to stop virus - PM

Boris Johnson: “It look as though we are now approaching the fast growth part of the upward curve” The PM has said everyone in the UK should avoid “non-essential” travel and contact with others to curb coronavirus - as the country’s death toll hit 55.

Even the PM does not understand the implications of exponential growth and gave a very misleading assessment in his first daily pandemic briefing.

The briefing was a total mess, surprise surprise.

He said the number of cases will double every five days … if only

Exponential growth means it will multiply by ten, not just double. Other countries have seen this happen in as short as five days to a week.

1, 10, 100, 1000 vs 1, 2, 4, 8 that is a very big difference.

Needless to say, his misunderstanding and the general incoherent presentation does not bode well.